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CONSTITUENCY
PROFILES:
St. Elizabeth North Eastern
Truly a safe PNP seat
Anthony
Myers,
Contributor
THE
INCUMBENT Roger Clarke (PNP), will be very lonely at the winning
post in the upcoming general election as this is truly a safe
PNP seat.
St.
Elizabeth North Eastern was among the 13 newly created constituencies
in 1959.
Of
the nine contested Parliamentary General Elections (1959-1997)
the PNP won eight times to the JLP's one. The name Sydney
Pagon is a household name in St. Elizabeth North Eastern having
won the seat in 1959, 1962, 1967, 1972, 1976 and 1989.
In
1993 Roger Clarke proved a worthy successor to the legendary
Sydney Pagon as he defeated Winston Lewis (JLP), by a massive
4,460 majority. In 1997 the incumbent Roger Clarke was no
less devastating, polling 10,058 votes to defeat by 5,819
votes, newcomer Basil Perriel (JLP), who polled 4,239. Winston
Lewis, the NDM candidate, lost his deposit as he polled a
mere 298 votes.
With
a likely 5.6% increase in the voters' list for the next general
election the JLP will undoubtedly put lots of daylight between
itself and the NDM/UPP, should they contest, with the incumbent
Roger Clarke (PNP), very lonely at the winning post. Truly
a safe PNP seat.
GENERAL
ELECTION (PARLIAMENTARY) PROJECTION 2002
| E/L
|
22,079
|
| A/B |
15,245
(69.1%) |
| PNP
|
9,685
(63.5%) |
| JLP |
5,560
(36.5%) |
| Majority
(PNP) |
4,125
|
General
Elections (Summary) 1959-1997 St.
Elizabeth North Eastern
| 1959 |
|
|
E/L
|
16,157
|
| B/C |
10,666 |
| A/B |
10,493 |
| R/B |
173
|
|
Sydney
Ralph Pagon, PNP
|
6,729 |
| Ronald
E. Taylor, JLP |
3,764 |
|
1962
|
|
| E/L |
14,946 |
| B/C |
11,227 |
| A/B |
11,142 |
| R/B |
85 |
| Lionel
Densham, JLP |
5,148 |
| Sydney
R.Pagon,PNP |
5,994 |
| 1967 |
|
| E/L
|
12,059 |
| B/C |
9,592 |
| A/B |
9,512 |
| R/B |
80 |
| Videna
Falconer, JLP |
4,357 |
| Sydney
R. Pagon, PNP |
5,155 |
| 1972 |
|
| E/L |
12,778
|
| B/C |
9,328 |
| A/B |
9,264 |
| R/B |
64 |
| Stafford
Owen, JLP |
2,794 |
| Sydney
R. Pagon, PNP |
6,392 |
| Herbert
Thomas, IND. |
123 |
| 1976 |
|
| E/L |
16,643 |
| B/C |
14,102 |
| A/B |
14,003 |
| R/B |
99 |
| William
Hutchinson,JLP |
6,270 |
| Sydney
R. Pagon, PNP |
7,733 |
| 1980 |
|
|
E/L
|
18,315 |
| B/C |
15,713 |
| A/B |
15,566 |
| R/B |
147 |
| William
J.C. Hutchinson, JLP |
9,106 |
| Sydney
R. Pagon, PNP |
6,460 |
| 1983 |
|
|
E/L
|
18,315 |
| William
J.C. Hutchinson, JLP |
(elected
unopposed by acclamation) |
| 1989 |
|
|
E/L
|
18,969 |
| B/C |
14,589
|
| A/B |
14,475 |
| R/B
|
114 |
| Hugh
A. Dawes, JLP |
5,433 |
| Sydney
R. Pagon, PNP |
9,042
|
|
1993
|
|
| E/L |
18,407 |
| B/C
|
10,793 |
| A/B |
10,748 |
| R/B |
45 |
| Roger
Clarke, PNP |
7,608 |
| Winston
Lewis, JLP |
3,140 |
|
1997
|
|
| E/L |
20,981 |
| B/C |
14,668
(69.9%) |
| A/B |
14,595
(99.5%) |
| R/B |
73
(0.5%) |
| Roger
Clarke, PNP |
10,058
(68.9%) |
| Basil
Perriel,JLP |
4,239
(29.1%) |
| Winston
Lewis, NDM |
298
(2.0%) |
|
NOTE:
|
|
| E/L: |
Electors
on List |
| B/C: |
Ballots
Cast |
| A/B: |
Accepted
Ballots |
| R/B: |
Rejected
Ballots |
About
This Writer
*
Anthony Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has
done work for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's
National Party. NEXT: St. Elizabeth South Western.
|
