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  CONSTITUENCY 
                    PROFILE: ST ANDREW WESTERN 
                    A 
                    safe PNP seat Anthony 
                    Myers
 Contributor
  ST. 
                    ANDREW Western is indeed a safe PNP seat in the upcoming general 
                    election. The incumbent MP is O.T. Williams and he is being 
                    challenged by Joyce Young of the JLP and Curtis Campbell of 
                    the NJA-NDM.  
                    St. 
                    Andrew Western was among the 32 constituencies fixed in the 
                    new Constitution granted to Jamaica in 1944. The constituency 
                    of St. Andrew Western is comprised within the area bounded 
                    from a point where the Washington Boulevard meets the Ferry 
                    River, southerly along the eastern side of the Ferry River 
                    to the seacoast, along the sea coast to a point opposite Twickenham 
                    Close, thence on a straight line to Twickenham Close, northerly 
                    along the western side of Twickenham Close to Spanish Town 
                    Road. From there it goes westerly along the southern side 
                    of Spanish Town Road to Simon Taylor Road, northerly along 
                    the western side of Simon Taylor Road to the Dry Gully, along 
                    the Dry Gully to Bay Farm Road, north westerly along the Bay 
                    Farm Road, northerly in an imaginary line to the Sandy Gully, 
                    from this point along the western boundary of Drews Land Housing 
                    Estate to Washington Boulevard, westerly along the southern 
                    side of Washington Boulevard to Waterhouse Drive. It then 
                    travels, northerly along the western side of Waterhouse Drive 
                    to the gully, along the gully to the foothills, to the Ferry 
                    River, southerly along the eastern side of the Ferry River 
                    to the starting point. 
                    This 
                    constituency was the domain of the JLP from 1944-1955. In 
                    1944 E.R. Dudley Evans (JLP), polled 6,421 votes to defeat 
                    Edith Dalton-James (PNP), by a 2,709 majority. In 1949, Rose 
                    Agatha Leon polled 13,625 votes to defeat by a 1,626 majority, 
                    W.M. Seivright (PNP), who polled 11,639 votes. In the 1959 
                    boundaries adjustment, Western St. Andrew was divided into 
                    two constituencies and named St. Andrew West Rural and West 
                    Central. Arthur Leon won West Rural for the JLP and William 
                    Seivright won West Central for the PNP. In 1976, the St. Andrew 
                    Western constituency was restored, the size and voting population 
                    considerably reduced in comparison to the original Western 
                    1944-1955. 
                    With 
                    minor boundary changes in 1986 and 1992, the PNP has dominated 
                    this seat winning all five contested parliamentary general 
                    elections  1976, 1980, 1989, 1993 and 1997. In 1976, 
                    David Coore massacred the JLP candidate Colin Williams winning 
                    by a majority of 8,149. In the JLP landslide of 1980, in spite 
                    of every attempt made to prevent Dudley Thompson from retaining 
                    the seat, the PNP won the seat by 85 votes. In 1989 Onel Williams 
                    polled 10,298 votes to Lee Clarke (JLP), 7,223  a majority 
                    3,075. 
                    In 
                    the 1993 general election, Onel Williams retained the seat 
                    for the PNP with a massive majority of 10,049 votes over the 
                    JLP candidate, Owen Stephenson. In 1997, the incumbent O.T. 
                    Williams polled 9,822 votes to defeat by a 6,648 majority, 
                    Lee R. Clarke (JLP) who polled 3,174 votes. When one considers 
                    that such result was achieved by a party seeking an unprecedented 
                    third term, it can be said without fear of contradiction that 
                    St. Andrew Western is PNP territory and indeed, a safe PNP 
                    seat in the upcoming general election. 
                     
                    GENERAL 
                    ELECTIONS (PARLIAMENTARY)  PROJECTION 
 
 
                     
                      | 2002 
                         |  |   
                      | E/L | 23,907 |   
                      | A/B | 15,540 
                        (65.0%) |   
                      | PNP | 11,344 
                        (73.0%) |   
                      | JLP | 4,196 
                        (27.0%) |   
                      | Majority 
                        (PNP) | 7,148 |   
                      |  |  |  	 
                    GENERAL 
                    ELECTIONS (SUMMARY) 1944-1997
 
 
                     
                      | 1944 |  |   
                      | E/L | 24,836 |   
                      | B/C | 13,175 |   
                      | A/B | 12,597 |   
                      | R/B | 578 |   
                      | Edith 
                        Dalton-James, PNP | 3,712 |   
                      | E.R. 
                        Dudley Evans, JLP | 6,421 |   
                      | Arthur 
                        P. Hanson, IND. | 333 |   
                      | Eleazer 
                        E. McLaughlin, JDP. | 2,131 |  
 
                     
                      | 1949 
                         |  |   
                      | E/L | 34,357 |   
                      | B/C | 23,198 |   
                      | A/B | 22,911 |   
                      | R/B | 187 |   
                      | H.E.V. 
                        Brown, IND. | 203 |   
                      | Edith 
                        Dalton-James, PNP | 10,225 |   
                      | E.R. 
                        Dudley Evans, AIP | 294 |   
                      | Rose 
                        Agatha Leon, JLP | 11,715 |   
                      | Eleazer 
                        E. McLaughlin, INP. | 474 |  
 
                     
                      | 1955 
                           |  |   
                      | E/L | 41,944 |   
                      | B/C | 25,860 |   
                      | A/B | 25,564 |   
                      | R/B | 296 |   
                      | M.G. 
                        Edwards, FP | 660 |   
                      | Rose 
                        Agatha Leon, JLP | 13,265 |   
                      | W.M. 
                        Seivright, PNP | 11,639 |  
 
                     
                      | 1976 
                           |  |   
                      | E/L | 17,168 |   
                      | B/C | 15,260 |   
                      | A/B | 15,173 |   
                      | R/B | 87 |   
                      | David 
                        Coore | 11,661 |   
                      | Colin 
                        Williamson, JLP | 3,512 |  
 
                     
                      | 1980 
                           |  |   
                      | E/L | 22,613 |   
                      | B/C | 19,067 |   
                      | A/B | 18,642 |   
                      | R/B | 425 |   
                      | Owen 
                        Stephenson, JLP | 9,227 |   
                      | Dudley 
                        Thompson, PNP | 9,312 |   
                      | Beverley 
                        Wright, IND. | 97 |   
                      | Maria 
                        Wyles, IND. | 6 |  
 
                     
                      | 1983 
                           |  |   
                      | E/L | 2,613 |   
                      | Pat 
                        Stephens, JLP | (elected 
                        unopposed by acclamation) |  
 
                     
                      | 1989 
                         |  |   
                      | E/L | 22,587 |   
                      | B/C | 18,044 |   
                      | A/B | 17,561 |   
                      | R/B | 483 |   
                      | Lee 
                        R. Clarke, JLP | 7,223 |   
                      | Don 
                        Jenkins, IND. | 40 |   
                      | Onel 
                        Williams, PNP | 10,298 |  
 
                     
                      | 1993 
                         |  |   
                      | E/L | 20,043 |   
                      | B/C | 14,109 |   
                      | A/B | 13,625 |   
                      | R/B | 484 |   
                      | Owen 
                        Stephenson, JLP | 1,788 |   
                      | Onel 
                        T. Williams, PNP | 11,837 |  
 
                     
                      | 1997 
                         |  |   
                      | E/L | 22,200 |   
                      | B/C | 13,988 
                        (63.0%) |   
                      | A/B | 13,292 
                        (95.0%) |   
                      | R/B | 696 
                        (5.0%) |   
                      | Onel 
                        T. Williams, PNP | 9,822 
                        (73.9%) |   
                      | Lee 
                        R. Clarke, JLP | 3,174 
                        (23.9%) |   
                      | Nelson 
                        R. Quarry, NDM | 265 
                        (2.0%) |   
                      | Leroy 
                        Lindsay, IND. | 31 
                        (0.2%) |   
                      | Majority 
                        PNP | 7,148 |  
 
                     
                      | NOTE: |  |   
                      | E/L: | Electors 
                        on List |   
                      | B/C: | Ballots 
                        Cast |   
                      | A/B: | Accepted 
                        Ballots |   
                      | R/B: | Rejected 
                        Ballots |  Anthony 
                  Myers is a statistician and political analyst who has done work 
                  for the Electoral Office of Jamaica and for the People's National 
                  Party.
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